Report of the Portfolio Committee on Finance on Budget Vote 13: Statistics South Africa, dated 2 June 2006:


|The Portfolio Committee having considered Budget Vote 13: Statistics South Africa (Stats SA), reports as follows:

 

1.                   Introduction

Credibility is a critical component of statistics because it informs policy, development, effective implementation of targeted delivery, and allocative efficiency. The Portfolio Committee on Finance was impressed with the improvement in the credibility of statistics produced and the employment and planned use of sound management resources and systems.

 

The Statistician General (SG) in line with Parliament’s constitutional oversight powers explained the relationship between the strategic plan together with the medium term budget requirements and the allocation for the current fiscal year.   The Committee commended Stats SA on a much-improved strategic plan, which showed great alignment with resource allocation, the identified output and desired outcome. Notwithstanding the Committee acknowledgement of improvement in Vote 13 it raised a number of questions relating to the community survey, definition of poverty, the labour force survey, and statistical master plan.

 

2.                   Deliberations

In its deliberations of Stats SA’s allocated efficiency of resources and its linkage to targeted strategic output, the quality of economic statistics, skills shortages, communication, statistical master plan, and poverty statistics were scrutinised during the oversight engagement by the Finance Committee. 

 

2.1      Quality of economic statistics

2.1.1  The Committee noted that Stats SA desire to become the preferred supplier of quality statistics but enquired into the collection of data and the agricultural survey to be undertaken by Stats SA. The Committee wanted clarification on the reasons for the use of a postal survey as opposed to the direct price collection methodology on commercial agricultural activity. 

 

The SG informed the Committee that this survey is different from a general survey, as the sample would be drawn from the business register. It is important to note the distinction between commercial business aspects of agriculture and subsistence agriculture. The use of postal surveys is more effective and cheaper.

2.1.2   The Committee enquired whether the methodology for the collection of data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has changed and if the composition of the basket of goods and services remained the same in its compilation.

The SG noted that the methodology in determining the CPI has not changed, nor the outlets from where data is collected. There only change is that Stats SA replaced the store manager with their official in getting the necessary information from consumers.  The weighting of the basket of goods and services remained the same and is based on the Income and Expenditure Survey (IES) of the year 2000. Stats SA, in future, envisage reweighting the basket to accommodate the shifting expenditure patterns of South African households. Consumption patterns are changing more rapidly as a result of the change in technology and socio-economic conditions.

2.1.3            The Committee requested that Stats SA provide more details with respect to the business survey.

 

The SG informed the Committee that the business surveys are additional surveys that measure business characteristics such as turnover, and it also try to address the gaps that existed due to inaccuracies of past data collection processes. This will ultimately improve the coverage and quality of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Quarterly surveys of the business will be introduced during 2007/8.

2.1.4            The Committee enquired whether the budget allocation to implement the community survey is accurate and if the necessary methodology and monitoring mechanism is in place to ensure the success thereof.

Stats SA indicated, as outlined in their strategic, plan that the community surveys would build the necessary capacity towards undertaking of Census 2011. Stats SA has been developing certain models called the Census and Survey Administration System (CESAS) that would enable Stats SA to track individual returns from households through the whole processing system. The CESAS will also provide the necessary monitoring and evaluating system.

The budget is aligned to the activities planned and in the current year Stats SA would be collecting information from 280 000 households, This reflects that the bulk of spending relates to data collection over a period of six months.  The second largest amount relates to field workers as this is a sample survey that would collect data from certain households. Stats SA is hopeful that all preparation would be in place by the end of this year, and that they should be able to refine and improve system as we move towards the implementation of the community survey.  Results of the community survey should be published in November 2007,

 

2.2        Skill shortage

The Committee enquired whether Stats SA has developed a survey that would accurately quantify the levels, and different sectors that have a shortage of skills.

 

Stats SA recognised the skills shortage within the economy but has not yet developed a survey to quantify to what extent it exists. In the area of statistical skills shortages do exist. Stats SA in collaboration with universities have developed an education campaign that would form the foundation of attracting school children to develop the necessary skills required.

 

2.3        Communication

The Committee enquired how Stats SA would improve communication, not only to its direct stakeholders, but also to the community in general. The Committee further wanted to know if the publication of statistical materials would be made more accessible to the general public.

 

The Minister responded that one need to be careful in determining to what extent Stats SA makes the information available to non- users. A balance needs to be established as to ensure that those who want and need the information have access, and also to make the information generally available. The community generally is only interested in basic information on the economy and society such as economic growth, employment, inflation, population etc. The media is mainly the forum through which statistical information on both national and local level is published.

 

2.4         Statistical master plan

The Committee enquired into the importance of having the draft statistical master plan and how it would enhance the National Statistics System.

 

Stats SA indicated that it is not the only source of statistical information used by the various role-players in the economy.  The demand for accurate statistical information has increased and statistics currently available are of questionable quality, incoherent as they lack the common standards and are produced by different agencies in an uncoordinated manner. The statistical master plan provides for the coordination and prioritisation of statistical data to overcome these coverage and quality constraints. Statistics would only be classified as official if it has met the requirements set out by the South African Statistical Quality Framework.

 

2.5        Poverty Statistics

The Committee enquired whether the definition of poverty has not yet been standardised and if any survey has been done to quantify the level of poverty in the country.

 

Stats SA informed the Committee that it is currently looking into the process of standardising the definition of poverty. The need for an annual measure of poverty and inequality do exist.  A multidimensional concept of poverty should be used and that this annual measure should provide a solid and stable trend analysis to measure development initiatives for the reduction in poverty in South Africa. Currently, different departments are using different definitions, and National Treasury is leading the process towards standardisation. Measuring progress towards halving poverty by the year 2015 makes the requirement for information to plan and monitor development more pressing.

 

Stats SA further indicated that the information collected by it should provide us with the level of poverty, but the credibility of the information with respect to the Income and Expenditure Survey is questioned. This fragmented and contradictory data and its interpretation lead to confusion and uncoordinated development efforts. Stats SA has taken a decision to design, develop, and implement a poverty survey over the medium term. It aims to provide reliable and comparable information to the relevant stakeholders on a regular and timely basis. Once the concepts have been defined, Stats SA would develop a questionnaire to collect data, with survey methodologies and processes being tested in 2006/7. Stats SA aims to have a full poverty survey by 2008.

 

2.6        Millennium Development Goals (MDG)

The Committee enquired whether there is alignment of targets in Government agencies for achieving the MDG and the role of Stats SA in providing the necessary support in this regard.

Stats SA informed the Committee that it has the responsibility of providing official statistics and is responsible for managing the rollout of the process, as well as providing the secretariat for the MDG activities. Stats SA recognises that the statistical requirements for the MDG are enormous and that current data sources, especially in the African continent are questionable. The Secretary-General of the United Nations also echoes this view. Internationally, there is recognition about the statistical shortcomings in achieving the MDG and that capacity building in the area of statistics is critical. Stats SA together with Canada, is taking the initiative to develop a model to address these shortcomings. Stats SA through its poverty survey would provide the necessary information in assisting the relevant agencies in formulating the policy that would achieve the MDG.

 

2.7        Reengineering the Labour Force Survey (LFS)

The Committee requested that Stats SA provide more details with respect to the reengineering of the LFS.

 

Stats SA informed the Committee that after an evaluation process into all aspects of LFS, recommendations were made to address weaknesses in conceptual clarity, questionnaire design, sample design, estimation procedures and the timeliness of reporting.  The main recommendations are that the LFS should be done quarterly and data should be made available four weeks after the last day of data collection. The Strategic Plan outlined the timeframes for implementations of the LFS with the objective of launching the quarterly LFS in August 2008.

 

3.   Conclusion

 

3.1 Further activities planned by Committee:

 

3.1.1 The Committee requests that Stats SA brief the Committee, within six months,

          after adoption of the report, on progress with respect to implementation of the

          2006/7 strategic plans.

 

3.2 Recommendations:

 

Based on its deliberations the Committee recommends that the House requests that Stats SA:

 

3.2.1 Ensures that information generated by the community survey will provide

         an effective data base and information trends, particularly at a ward level.

3.2.2 Ensures an appropriate operational definition of poverty that will promote  

         effective delivery.

3.2.3 Ensures that human resource management is not allowed to shift back to

         its former ineffectiveness.

3.2.4 Develops a strategic plan to ensure that necessary skills are retained and  

         developed within the organisation.

 

Report to be considered.